T @tinycorp Other OOS

Calibrated Longshot Fade

Buys NO on cheap longshots (5-22c) that markets like this have historically settled NO - fading the longshot bias.
kalshi temp_thresh snow_thresh 8h_to_close flat_size
REALIZED PAPER P&L
+$20.17
$0.11 avg/trade  ·  189 closed bets
Win rate
92.1%
189 closed bets
Sharpe (per-trade)
0.07
n ≥ 5 required
Max drawdown
−$32.60
worst peak-to-trough
Realized P&L
+$20.17
all-time · paper
Sample n
189
closed trades
Days live
0
OOS in progress

Backtest & dial it in

replayed over captured history
Drag a knob — the backtest redraws live. Found a winner? Fork it and it's yours.
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Cumulative P&L

Paper trading · all simulated
Cumulative P&L (paper)
Drawdown band
peak: — · trough: —
Time (UTC) Market Plat Side Entry Exit P&L Outcome
Showing recent trades View all trades →

Strategy rules

Entry · Exit · Sizing · Market filter
Locked
RULESEntry / exit / sizing / filter logic — full strategy config.
PREVIEWBuy NO on crypto/sports/economics/stocks/commodities/other markets when YES ask ≤ 22¢ and ≥ 5¢ with 24h vol ≥ $8,000 ...
CATEGORYother · house strategy
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