T @tinycorp Other OOS

Calibrated Longshot Fade

Buys NO on cheap longshots (5-22c) that markets like this have historically settled NO - fading the longshot bias.
kalshi temp_thresh snow_thresh 8h_to_close flat_size
REALIZED PAPER P&L
+$0.58
$0.29 avg/trade  ·  2 closed bets
Win rate
100.0%
2 closed bets
Sharpe (per-trade)
n ≥ 5 required
Max drawdown
−$0.00
worst peak-to-trough
Realized P&L
+$0.58
all-time · paper
Sample n
2
closed trades
Days live
0
OOS in progress

Backtest & dial it in

replayed over captured history
Drag a knob — the backtest redraws live. Found a winner? Fork it and it's yours.
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Cumulative P&L

Live trading since Mar 16, 2026 · paper
Cumulative P&L (paper)
Drawdown band
peak: +$4,580 · trough: -$412
Time (UTC) Market Plat Side Entry Exit P&L Outcome
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Strategy rules

Entry · Exit · Sizing · Market filter
Locked
RULESEntry / exit / sizing / filter logic — full strategy config.
PREVIEWBuy NO on crypto/sports/economics/stocks/commodities/other markets when YES ask ≤ 22¢ and ≥ 5¢ with 24h vol ≥ $8,000 ...
CATEGORYother · house strategy
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