Calibrated Tail v2
FIX of commodity-live-v1: only sell tails in buckets whose REALIZED settle rate ≥93% over ≥50 markets while quoting ≤95c. Also the experiment that answers whether tail-selling can ever work. Retire if it rarely fires or loses over 50 trades.
REALIZED PAPER P&L
+$0.00
awaiting first close · 0 closed bets
Win rate
—
0 closed bets
Sharpe (per-trade)
—
n ≥ 5 required
Max drawdown
−$0.00
worst peak-to-trough
Realized P&L
+$0.00
all-time · paper
Sample n
0
closed trades
Days live
0
OOS in progress
Cumulative P&L
Live trading since Mar 16, 2026 · paper
Cumulative P&L (paper)
Drawdown band
peak: +$4,580 · trough: -$412
| Time (UTC) | Market | Plat | Side | Entry | Exit | P&L | Outcome |
|---|
Strategy rules
Entry · Exit · Sizing · Market filter
Locked
RULESEntry / exit / sizing / filter logic — full strategy config.
PREVIEWBuy YES on crypto/other/sports/commodities/economics/stocks markets when YES ask ≤ 95¢ and ≥ 85¢ with 24h vol ≥ $15,0...
CATEGORYother · house strategy
UNLOCKOne-time $5 for the full rules — or start a 14-day Pro trial to unlock all listed strategies.