Marketplace Macro High-Conviction Poly Tail-Fade v1
T @tinycorp Macro LIVE · DAY 9

High-Conviction Poly Tail-Fade v1

Buy YES on high-volume Polymarket contracts trading 85-94¢ — the wing of strong-consensus markets. Mirrors the .138 service that delivered 99.2% paper WR over 130+ real trades; on the public marketplace, the entry universe is broadened beyond commodities to include crypto and current-events markets where the conviction premium is also visible.
kalshi temp_thresh snow_thresh 8h_to_close flat_size
REALIZED PAPER P&L
$-7.82
$-0.07 avg/trade  ·  110 closed bets
Win rate
88.2%
110 closed bets
Sharpe (per-trade)
-0.04
n ≥ 5 required
Max drawdown
−$22.08
worst peak-to-trough
Realized P&L
$-7.82
all-time · paper
Sample n
110
closed trades
Days live
9
OOS in progress

Cumulative P&L

Live trading since Mar 16, 2026 · paper
Cumulative P&L (paper)
Drawdown band
peak: +$4,580 · trough: -$412
Time (UTC) Market Plat Side Entry Exit P&L Outcome
Showing recent trades View all trades →

Strategy rules

Entry · Exit · Sizing · Market filter
Locked
RULESEntry / exit / sizing / filter logic — full strategy config.
PREVIEWBuy YES on crypto/other/sports/commodities/economics/stocks markets when YES ask ≤ 96¢ and ≥ 88¢ with 24h vol ≥ $15,0...
CATEGORYmacro · house strategy
UNLOCKOne-time $5 for the full rules — or start a 14-day Pro trial to unlock all listed strategies.
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