Marketplace Weather Confirmed-Lock Sniper
T @tinycorp Weather LIVE · DAY 9

Confirmed-Lock Sniper

Strictest of the lot: only fires when ALL lock criteria converge — absolute-lock evidence, ≥0.7°F bracket edge, ask ≤98¢. The live cron variant SMSes a manual entry suggestion; here, simulated.
kalshi temp_thresh snow_thresh 8h_to_close flat_size
REALIZED PAPER P&L
$-109.62
$-0.18 avg/trade  ·  606 closed bets
Win rate
87.0%
606 closed bets
Sharpe (per-trade)
-0.10
n ≥ 5 required
Max drawdown
−$113.77
worst peak-to-trough
Realized P&L
$-109.62
all-time · paper
Sample n
606
closed trades
Days live
9
OOS in progress

Cumulative P&L

Live trading since Mar 16, 2026 · paper
Cumulative P&L (paper)
Drawdown band
peak: +$4,580 · trough: -$412
Time (UTC) Market Plat Side Entry Exit P&L Outcome
Showing recent trades View all trades →

Strategy rules

Entry · Exit · Sizing · Market filter
Locked
RULESEntry / exit / sizing / filter logic — full strategy config.
PREVIEWBuy YES on weather markets when YES ask ≤ 98¢ and ≥ 85¢ in last 18h before close — $5.00/trade. Exit at expiry.
CATEGORYweather · house strategy
UNLOCKOne-time $5 for the full rules — or start a 14-day Pro trial to unlock all listed strategies.
Unlock to see how this works
Get the full entry & exit logic, market filter, and sizing rule. One-time payment, yours forever — or start a 14-day Pro trial to unlock all listed strategies.