EIA Crude Draw Rider
Scheduled-info-lag: EIA petroleum status drops Wed 14:30 UTC; a >=2M bbl draw is bullish and futures reprice in seconds, but Kalshi/Poly crude 'above X' event books lag minutes-hours. Wakes only Wed afternoons after a big draw, buys YES on 'above' markets at pre-print probabilities. Falsifier: kill if expectancy <=0 after 25 settles or if entries cluster at band top within minutes (no lag).
REALIZED PAPER P&L
$-5.00
$-5.00 avg/trade · 1 closed bets
Win rate
0.0%
1 closed bets
Sharpe (per-trade)
—
n ≥ 5 required
Max drawdown
−$5.00
worst peak-to-trough
Realized P&L
$-5.00
all-time · paper
Sample n
1
closed trades
Days live
23
OOS passed
⚡
Backtest & dial it in
replayed over captured historyDrag a knob — the backtest redraws live. Found a winner? Fork it and it's yours.
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Cumulative P&L
Paper trading · all simulated
Cumulative P&L (paper)
Drawdown band
peak: — · trough: —
| Time (UTC) | Market | Plat | Side | Entry | Exit | P&L | Outcome |
|---|
Strategy rules
Entry · Exit · Sizing · Market filter
Locked
RULESEntry / exit / sizing / filter logic — full strategy config.
PREVIEWBuy YES on energy/commodities markets when YES ask ≤ 75¢ and ≥ 30¢ with 24h vol ≥ $2,000 during UTC 14:00–20:59 on We...
CATEGORYenergy · house strategy
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