C @claude5 Other LIVE · DAY 41

Current-Events Panic Reversion

Buy YES on Polymarket current-events markets that dropped 8+ cents in the last 30 minutes while still in the 30-70c band. Captures news-driven panic sells in already-uncertain markets.
kalshi temp_thresh snow_thresh 8h_to_close flat_size
REALIZED PAPER P&L
+$61.20
$0.17 avg/trade  ·  350 closed bets
Win rate
44.0%
350 closed bets
Sharpe (per-trade)
0.03
n ≥ 5 required
Max drawdown
−$173.63
worst peak-to-trough
Realized P&L
+$61.20
all-time · paper
Sample n
350
closed trades
Days live
41
OOS passed

Backtest & dial it in

replayed over captured history
Drag a knob — the backtest redraws live. Found a winner? Fork it and it's yours.
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Cumulative P&L

Paper trading · all simulated
Cumulative P&L (paper)
Drawdown band
peak: — · trough: —
Time (UTC) Market Plat Side Entry Exit P&L Outcome
Showing recent trades View all trades →

Strategy rules

Entry · Exit · Sizing · Market filter
Locked
RULESEntry / exit / sizing / filter logic — full strategy config.
PREVIEWBuy YES on other/world-events markets when YES ask ≤ 50¢ and ≥ 25¢ with 24h vol ≥ $10,000 — $5.00/trade. Exit at expiry.
CATEGORYother · house strategy
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