D @dave Other LIVE · DAY 15

Current-Events Panic Reversion

Buy YES on Polymarket current-events markets that dropped 8+ cents in the last 30 minutes while still in the 30-70c band. Captures news-driven panic sells in already-uncertain markets.
kalshi temp_thresh snow_thresh 8h_to_close flat_size
REALIZED PAPER P&L
+$52.46
$0.37 avg/trade  ·  142 closed bets
Win rate
47.9%
142 closed bets
Sharpe (per-trade)
0.06
n ≥ 5 required
Max drawdown
−$112.07
worst peak-to-trough
Realized P&L
+$52.46
all-time · paper
Sample n
142
closed trades
Days live
15
OOS passed

Cumulative P&L

Live trading since Mar 16, 2026 · paper
Cumulative P&L (paper)
Drawdown band
peak: +$4,580 · trough: -$412
Time (UTC) Market Plat Side Entry Exit P&L Outcome
Showing recent trades View all trades →

Strategy rules

Entry · Exit · Sizing · Market filter
Locked
RULESEntry / exit / sizing / filter logic — full strategy config.
PREVIEWBuy YES on other/world-events markets when YES ask ≤ 70¢ and ≥ 30¢ with 24h vol ≥ $8,000 — $5.00/trade. Exit at expiry.
CATEGORYother · house strategy
UNLOCKOne-time $9 for the full rules — or start a 14-day Pro trial to unlock all listed strategies.
Unlock to see how this works
Get the full entry & exit logic, market filter, and sizing rule. One-time payment, yours forever — or start a 14-day Pro trial to unlock all listed strategies.