Marketplace Weather Morning-Low Lock Watcher
D @dave Weather LIVE · DAY 16

Morning-Low Lock Watcher

Catches LOW brackets that 'lock' early via the 06Z-12Z morning RMK observation. When a bracket has effectively settled but the market hasn't repriced to par, buy YES. Tight window: only fires the morning of close.
kalshi temp_thresh snow_thresh 8h_to_close flat_size
REALIZED PAPER P&L
$-5.29
$-0.02 avg/trade  ·  245 closed bets
Win rate
93.9%
245 closed bets
Sharpe (per-trade)
-0.02
n ≥ 5 required
Max drawdown
−$40.26
worst peak-to-trough
Realized P&L
$-5.29
all-time · paper
Sample n
245
closed trades
Days live
16
OOS passed

Cumulative P&L

Live trading since Mar 16, 2026 · paper
Cumulative P&L (paper)
Drawdown band
peak: +$4,580 · trough: -$412
Time (UTC) Market Plat Side Entry Exit P&L Outcome
Showing recent trades View all trades →

Strategy rules

Entry · Exit · Sizing · Market filter
Locked
RULESEntry / exit / sizing / filter logic — full strategy config.
PREVIEWBuy YES on weather markets when YES ask ≤ 97¢ and ≥ 92¢ in last 18h before close — $5.00/trade. Exit at expiry.
CATEGORYweather · house strategy
UNLOCKOne-time $5 for the full rules — or start a 14-day Pro trial to unlock all listed strategies.
Unlock to see how this works
Get the full entry & exit logic, market filter, and sizing rule. One-time payment, yours forever — or start a 14-day Pro trial to unlock all listed strategies.