D @dave Weather OOS

My Weather Longshot Fade

Fades unlikely temperature brackets, with a liquidity floor so fills stay clean. Level up: add the bracket-lock signal.
kalshi temp_thresh snow_thresh 8h_to_close flat_size
REALIZED PAPER P&L
+$0.00
awaiting first close  ·  0 closed bets
Win rate
0 closed bets
Sharpe (per-trade)
n ≥ 5 required
Max drawdown
−$0.00
worst peak-to-trough
Realized P&L
+$0.00
all-time · paper
Sample n
0
closed trades
Days live
0
OOS in progress

Backtest & dial it in

replayed over captured history
Drag a knob — the backtest redraws live. Found a winner? Fork it and it's yours.
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Cumulative P&L

Live trading since Mar 16, 2026 · paper
Cumulative P&L (paper)
Drawdown band
peak: +$4,580 · trough: -$412
Time (UTC) Market Plat Side Entry Exit P&L Outcome
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Strategy rules

Entry · Exit · Sizing · Market filter
Private
Rules are private
The creator hasn't listed this strategy for sale, so its rules stay private — Pro membership doesn't unlock it. The full track record above is public. Follow @dave to be notified if they ever list it.
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