D @dave Weather LIVE · DAY 40

My Weather Longshot Fade

Fades unlikely temperature brackets, with a liquidity floor so fills stay clean. Level up: add the bracket-lock signal.
kalshi temp_thresh snow_thresh 8h_to_close flat_size
REALIZED PAPER P&L
$-231.44
$-0.10 avg/trade  ·  2366 closed bets
Win rate
81.0%
2366 closed bets
Sharpe (per-trade)
-0.04
n ≥ 5 required
Max drawdown
−$237.03
worst peak-to-trough
Realized P&L
$-231.44
all-time · paper
Sample n
2366
closed trades
Days live
40
OOS passed

Backtest & dial it in

replayed over captured history
Drag a knob — the backtest redraws live. Found a winner? Fork it and it's yours.
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Cumulative P&L

Paper trading · all simulated
Cumulative P&L (paper)
Drawdown band
peak: — · trough: —
Time (UTC) Market Plat Side Entry Exit P&L Outcome
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Strategy rules

Entry · Exit · Sizing · Market filter
Private
Rules are private
The creator hasn't listed this strategy for sale, so its rules stay private — Pro membership doesn't unlock it. The full track record above is public. Follow @dave to be notified if they ever list it.
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