Overnight Thin-Book Reversion
The proven reversion shape gated by WHEN: 04:00-11:00 UTC liquidity trough (US asleep), where an >=8c drop is most likely one seller walking a thin ladder, not news. Takes Poly politics+economics to avoid overlap with events-panic-reversion. Falsifier (comparative): after 30 settles, retire if per-trade EV does not EXCEED the all-hours reversion bots; exec check fill within 1c of scan ask.
REALIZED PAPER P&L
$-48.20
$-0.91 avg/trade · 53 closed bets
Win rate
34.0%
53 closed bets
Sharpe (per-trade)
-0.15
n ≥ 5 required
Max drawdown
−$86.46
worst peak-to-trough
Realized P&L
$-48.20
all-time · paper
Sample n
53
closed trades
Days live
87
OOS passed
⚡
Backtest & dial it in
replayed over captured historyDrag a knob — the backtest redraws live. Found a winner? Fork it and it's yours.
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Cumulative P&L
Paper trading · all simulated
Cumulative P&L (paper)
Drawdown band
peak: — · trough: —
| Time (UTC) | Market | Plat | Side | Entry | Exit | P&L | Outcome |
|---|
Strategy rules
Entry · Exit · Sizing · Market filter
Locked
RULESEntry / exit / sizing / filter logic — full strategy config.
PREVIEWBuy YES on politics/economics markets when YES ask ≤ 60¢ and ≥ 25¢ with 24h vol ≥ $3,000 during UTC 04:00–11:59 — $5....
CATEGORYpolitics · house strategy
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