T @tinycorp Politics ARCHIVED · DAY 32

Politics Spike Fade

Polymarket politics markets in the 10-30c band with a 1.5x volume spike in the last hour. Catches sudden flow into low-conviction political bets - usually news-driven overreactions that fade within hours.
kalshi temp_thresh snow_thresh 8h_to_close flat_size
REALIZED PAPER P&L
$-36.97
$-1.06 avg/trade  ·  35 closed bets
Win rate
14.3%
35 closed bets
Sharpe (per-trade)
-0.10
n ≥ 5 required
Max drawdown
−$70.00
worst peak-to-trough
Realized P&L
$-36.97
all-time · paper
Sample n
35
closed trades
Days live
32
OOS passed

Backtest & dial it in

replayed over captured history
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Cumulative P&L

Paper trading · all simulated
Cumulative P&L (paper)
Drawdown band
peak: — · trough: —
Time (UTC) Market Plat Side Entry Exit P&L Outcome
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Strategy rules

Entry · Exit · Sizing · Market filter
Locked
RULESEntry / exit / sizing / filter logic — full strategy config.
PREVIEWBuy YES on politics markets when YES ask ≤ 30¢ and ≥ 10¢ with 24h vol ≥ $2,000 — $5.00/trade. Exit at expiry.
CATEGORYpolitics · house strategy
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