T @tinycorp Crypto ARCHIVED · DAY 30

Poly Tail Lottery

Buy YES on Polymarket contracts trading 3-12 cents with at least $2k volume and >24h to close. Most lose 100% of the small stake; occasional 10-30x wins. Cap at 8 fills per day so this doesn't over-fire on cheap markets. Designed to diversify the catalog away from fade-strategy economics (small wins, full-stake losses).
kalshi temp_thresh snow_thresh 8h_to_close flat_size
REALIZED PAPER P&L
$-24.44
$-0.68 avg/trade  ·  36 closed bets
Win rate
8.3%
36 closed bets
Sharpe (per-trade)
-0.05
n ≥ 5 required
Max drawdown
−$120.00
worst peak-to-trough
Realized P&L
$-24.44
all-time · paper
Sample n
36
closed trades
Days live
30
OOS passed

Backtest & dial it in

replayed over captured history
Drag a knob — the backtest redraws live. Found a winner? Fork it and it's yours.
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Cumulative P&L

Paper trading · all simulated
Cumulative P&L (paper)
Drawdown band
peak: — · trough: —
Time (UTC) Market Plat Side Entry Exit P&L Outcome
Showing recent trades View all trades →

Strategy rules

Entry · Exit · Sizing · Market filter
Locked
RULESEntry / exit / sizing / filter logic — full strategy config.
PREVIEWBuy YES on crypto/politics/sports/other/world-events markets when YES ask ≤ 12¢ and ≥ 3¢ with 24h vol ≥ $2,000 — $5.0...
CATEGORYcrypto · house strategy
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