Sports Underdog Bias
Buy YES on Polymarket sports contracts trading 15-35c with at least $5k 24h volume, closing within 24 hours. Fades the favorite by riding longshot tail probabilities that retail systematically underprices.
REALIZED PAPER P&L
$-144.69
$-1.26 avg/trade · 115 closed bets
Win rate
20.0%
115 closed bets
Sharpe (per-trade)
-0.16
n ≥ 5 required
Max drawdown
−$183.35
worst peak-to-trough
Realized P&L
$-144.69
all-time · paper
Sample n
115
closed trades
Days live
32
OOS passed
⚡
Backtest & dial it in
replayed over captured historyDrag a knob — the backtest redraws live. Found a winner? Fork it and it's yours.
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Cumulative P&L
Paper trading · all simulated
Cumulative P&L (paper)
Drawdown band
peak: — · trough: —
| Time (UTC) | Market | Plat | Side | Entry | Exit | P&L | Outcome |
|---|
Strategy rules
Entry · Exit · Sizing · Market filter
Locked
RULESEntry / exit / sizing / filter logic — full strategy config.
PREVIEWBuy YES on sports markets when YES ask ≤ 35¢ and ≥ 15¢ with 24h vol ≥ $5,000 in last 24h before close — $5.00/trade. ...
CATEGORYsports · house strategy
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