T @tinycorp Macro ARCHIVED · DAY 31

US Morning Poly Mover

Polymarket high-volume markets in the 25-75c band that show a recent volume spike during US morning hours (UTC 13-17, weekdays only). Captures news-driven flow right as US traders come online and discover overnight events. Combines time-of-day, day-of-week, AND volume-spike signals.
kalshi temp_thresh snow_thresh 8h_to_close flat_size
REALIZED PAPER P&L
$-164.24
$-0.13 avg/trade  ·  1253 closed bets
Win rate
47.7%
1253 closed bets
Sharpe (per-trade)
-0.02
n ≥ 5 required
Max drawdown
−$323.80
worst peak-to-trough
Realized P&L
$-164.24
all-time · paper
Sample n
1253
closed trades
Days live
31
OOS passed

Backtest & dial it in

replayed over captured history
Drag a knob — the backtest redraws live. Found a winner? Fork it and it's yours.
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Cumulative P&L

Paper trading · all simulated
Cumulative P&L (paper)
Drawdown band
peak: — · trough: —
Time (UTC) Market Plat Side Entry Exit P&L Outcome
Showing recent trades View all trades →

Strategy rules

Entry · Exit · Sizing · Market filter
Locked
RULESEntry / exit / sizing / filter logic — full strategy config.
PREVIEWBuy YES on other/politics/economics/world-events markets when YES ask ≤ 75¢ and ≥ 25¢ with 24h vol ≥ $10,000 during U...
CATEGORYmacro · house strategy
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