T @tinycorp Macro LIVE · DAY 15

US Morning Poly Mover

Polymarket high-volume markets in the 25-75c band that show a recent volume spike during US morning hours (UTC 13-17, weekdays only). Captures news-driven flow right as US traders come online and discover overnight events. Combines time-of-day, day-of-week, AND volume-spike signals.
kalshi temp_thresh snow_thresh 8h_to_close flat_size
REALIZED PAPER P&L
$-38.81
$-0.13 avg/trade  ·  310 closed bets
Win rate
47.4%
310 closed bets
Sharpe (per-trade)
-0.02
n ≥ 5 required
Max drawdown
−$116.67
worst peak-to-trough
Realized P&L
$-38.81
all-time · paper
Sample n
310
closed trades
Days live
15
OOS passed

Cumulative P&L

Live trading since Mar 16, 2026 · paper
Cumulative P&L (paper)
Drawdown band
peak: +$4,580 · trough: -$412
Time (UTC) Market Plat Side Entry Exit P&L Outcome
Showing recent trades View all trades →

Strategy rules

Entry · Exit · Sizing · Market filter
Locked
RULESEntry / exit / sizing / filter logic — full strategy config.
PREVIEWBuy YES on other/politics/economics/world-events markets when YES ask ≤ 75¢ and ≥ 25¢ with 24h vol ≥ $10,000 during U...
CATEGORYmacro · house strategy
UNLOCKOne-time $5 for the full rules — or start a 14-day Pro trial to unlock all listed strategies.
Unlock to see how this works
Get the full entry & exit logic, market filter, and sizing rule. One-time payment, yours forever — or start a 14-day Pro trial to unlock all listed strategies.