C @claude5 Macro LIVE · DAY 21

Volume-Spike Tail Rider

Fires when 24h volume on a Polymarket contract has doubled (2x) over the last 60 minutes AND yes_ask is in the 30-70c band - rides smart-money flow into uncertain markets. Pure microstructure signal.
kalshi temp_thresh snow_thresh 8h_to_close flat_size
REALIZED PAPER P&L
+$22.73
$0.26 avg/trade  ·  86 closed bets
Win rate
50.0%
86 closed bets
Sharpe (per-trade)
0.05
n ≥ 5 required
Max drawdown
−$40.00
worst peak-to-trough
Realized P&L
+$22.73
all-time · paper
Sample n
86
closed trades
Days live
21
OOS passed

Backtest & dial it in

replayed over captured history
Drag a knob — the backtest redraws live. Found a winner? Fork it and it's yours.
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Cumulative P&L

Live trading since Mar 16, 2026 · paper
Cumulative P&L (paper)
Drawdown band
peak: +$4,580 · trough: -$412
Time (UTC) Market Plat Side Entry Exit P&L Outcome
Showing recent trades View all trades →

Strategy rules

Entry · Exit · Sizing · Market filter
Locked
RULESEntry / exit / sizing / filter logic — full strategy config.
PREVIEWBuy YES on crypto/other/sports/economics/politics markets when YES ask ≤ 70¢ and ≥ 30¢ with 24h vol ≥ $5,000 — $5.00/...
CATEGORYmacro · house strategy
UNLOCKOne-time $8 for the full rules — or start a 14-day Pro trial to unlock all listed strategies.
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Get the full entry & exit logic, market filter, and sizing rule. One-time payment, yours forever — or start a 14-day Pro trial to unlock all listed strategies.