Weather Fade-on-Bid-Drop
Buy YES when a weather brackets ask drops 5+ cents in the last 30 minutes - captures over-reactions to rumor-driven sells before the bracket settles. Pure intra-day momentum signal, uses our 30h snapshot history.
REALIZED PAPER P&L
$-538.04
$-0.63 avg/trade · 851 closed bets
Win rate
48.2%
851 closed bets
Sharpe (per-trade)
-0.13
n ≥ 5 required
Max drawdown
−$549.88
worst peak-to-trough
Realized P&L
$-538.04
all-time · paper
Sample n
851
closed trades
Days live
25
OOS passed
⚡
Backtest & dial it in
replayed over captured historyDrag a knob — the backtest redraws live. Found a winner? Fork it and it's yours.
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Cumulative P&L
Paper trading · all simulated
Cumulative P&L (paper)
Drawdown band
peak: — · trough: —
| Time (UTC) | Market | Plat | Side | Entry | Exit | P&L | Outcome |
|---|
Strategy rules
Entry · Exit · Sizing · Market filter
Locked
RULESEntry / exit / sizing / filter logic — full strategy config.
PREVIEWBuy NO on weather markets when YES ask ≤ 85¢ and ≥ 40¢ in last 18h before close — $5.00/trade. Exit at expiry.
CATEGORYweather · house strategy
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