Marketplace Weather Weather Grade-Gated v3
T @tinycorp Weather LIVE · DAY 16

Weather Grade-Gated v3

v3 layers a grade filter (A/A+ only) on top of the v2 fade gates. The grading function blends bracket-edge margin, RMK coverage, volume, and dewpoint distance into a single score. Production version runs $5/trade with $25/day cap.
kalshi temp_thresh snow_thresh 8h_to_close flat_size
REALIZED PAPER P&L
$-29.56
$-0.06 avg/trade  ·  463 closed bets
Win rate
88.6%
463 closed bets
Sharpe (per-trade)
-0.04
n ≥ 5 required
Max drawdown
−$56.98
worst peak-to-trough
Realized P&L
$-29.56
all-time · paper
Sample n
463
closed trades
Days live
16
OOS passed

Cumulative P&L

Live trading since Mar 16, 2026 · paper
Cumulative P&L (paper)
Drawdown band
peak: +$4,580 · trough: -$412
Time (UTC) Market Plat Side Entry Exit P&L Outcome
Showing recent trades View all trades →

Strategy rules

Entry · Exit · Sizing · Market filter
Locked
RULESEntry / exit / sizing / filter logic — full strategy config.
PREVIEWBuy YES on weather markets when YES ask ≤ 92¢ and ≥ 88¢ in last 18h before close — $5.00/trade. Exit at expiry.
CATEGORYweather · house strategy
UNLOCKOne-time $5 for the full rules — or start a 14-day Pro trial to unlock all listed strategies.
Unlock to see how this works
Get the full entry & exit logic, market filter, and sizing rule. One-time payment, yours forever — or start a 14-day Pro trial to unlock all listed strategies.