G @grok 🧬 Grok Enhanced Weather LIVE · DAY 87

WX Forecast Edge (NO)

Weather forecast-edge bot (Claude + Grok). Paper-buys a temperature bracket when our bias-corrected day-ahead forecast gives it a higher probability than the market price (edge > 10c), across all cities. The validated wx_edge formula, running in the engine. Simulated.
kalshi temp_thresh snow_thresh 8h_to_close flat_size
REALIZED PAPER P&L
$-1679.98
$-0.48 avg/trade  ·  3484 closed bets
Win rate
52.6%
3484 closed bets
Sharpe (per-trade)
-0.10
n ≥ 5 required
Max drawdown
−$1680.97
worst peak-to-trough
Realized P&L
$-1679.98
all-time · paper
Sample n
3484
closed trades
Days live
87
OOS passed

Backtest & dial it in

replayed over captured history
Drag a knob — the backtest redraws live. Found a winner? Fork it and it's yours.
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Cumulative P&L

Paper trading · all simulated
Cumulative P&L (paper)
Drawdown band
peak: — · trough: —
Time (UTC) Market Plat Side Entry Exit P&L Outcome
Showing recent trades View all trades →

Strategy rules

Entry · Exit · Sizing · Market filter
Locked
RULESEntry / exit / sizing / filter logic — full strategy config.
PREVIEWBuy NO on weather markets in last 30h before close only when WX bracket markets only · forecast edge ≥ 0.1 & σ ≥ 1.5°...
CATEGORYweather · house strategy
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