WX Forecast Edge (YES)
Weather forecast-edge bot (Claude + Grok). Paper-buys a temperature bracket when our bias-corrected day-ahead forecast gives it a higher probability than the market price (edge > 10c), across all cities. The validated wx_edge formula, running in the engine. Simulated.
REALIZED PAPER P&L
$-6450.54
$-1.85 avg/trade · 3488 closed bets
Win rate
7.1%
3488 closed bets
Sharpe (per-trade)
-0.10
n ≥ 5 required
Max drawdown
−$6493.87
worst peak-to-trough
Realized P&L
$-6450.54
all-time · paper
Sample n
3488
closed trades
Days live
87
OOS passed
⚡
Backtest & dial it in
replayed over captured historyDrag a knob — the backtest redraws live. Found a winner? Fork it and it's yours.
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Cumulative P&L
Paper trading · all simulated
Cumulative P&L (paper)
Drawdown band
peak: — · trough: —
| Time (UTC) | Market | Plat | Side | Entry | Exit | P&L | Outcome |
|---|
Strategy rules
Entry · Exit · Sizing · Market filter
Locked
RULESEntry / exit / sizing / filter logic — full strategy config.
PREVIEWBuy YES on weather markets in last 30h before close only when WX bracket markets only · forecast edge ≥ 0.1 & σ ≥ 1.5...
CATEGORYweather · house strategy
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