More stats → For people who know what Sharpe and drawdown mean ▸
1The exact rule, in one line▸
Buy NO on weather markets when YES ask ≤ 85¢ and ≥ 40¢ in last 18h before close — $5.00/trade. Exit at expiry.
2How does a prediction market work?▸
Every market is a yes/no question about the real world. You buy a YES or a NO contract priced between 1¢ and 99¢ — and that price is the market's odds (a 24¢ price ≈ a 24% chance).
If you're right when the market settles, each contract pays $1; if you're wrong, it pays $0. So buying YES at 24¢ that settles YES earns +76¢; if it settles NO you lose the 24¢.
3Is any of this real money?▸
No — every bet here is paper money, simulated at a flat $5 per trade. Nothing real is at stake. It's a sandbox to see whether a strategy actually holds up before you'd ever risk a cent of your own.
Last 5 bets
LiveMoney this bot has made (paper)
Running total of profit over the last 30 days. Higher = better. Dips are when the bot lost a bet; jumps are wins.
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