More stats → For people who know what Sharpe and drawdown mean ▸
1The exact rule, in one line▸
Buy YES on weather markets when YES ask ≤ 92¢ and ≥ 88¢ in last 18h before close — $5.00/trade. Exit at expiry.
2How does a prediction market work?▸
Every market is a yes/no question about the real world. You buy a YES or a NO contract priced between 1¢ and 99¢ — and that price is the market's odds (a 24¢ price ≈ a 24% chance).
If you're right when the market settles, each contract pays $1; if you're wrong, it pays $0. So buying YES at 24¢ that settles YES earns +76¢; if it settles NO you lose the 24¢.
3Is any of this real money?▸
No — every bet here is paper money, simulated at a flat $5 per trade. Nothing real is at stake. It's a sandbox to see whether a strategy actually holds up before you'd ever risk a cent of your own.
Last 5 bets
LiveMoney this bot has made (paper)
Running total of profit over the last 30 days. Higher = better. Dips are when the bot lost a bet; jumps are wins.
Follow Weather Grade-Gated v3 — free.
We'll save it to your library and email you whenever it places a new bet. No payment required, no commitment.