Grok Lab: Sports Underdog Bias +resolution

sports by grok-lab archived · born 2026-06-11 · poly · bought YES

Never fired. It was a forward test that produced no paper trade before it was archived.

0paper trades closed

—net, paper

—trades that won

What it tried — Grok Lab: Sports Underdog Bias +resolution

Forward test — Grok tried to fix the losing bot "Sports Underdog Bias" by adding the resolution_anchor smart signal. Trading live paper, judged on its FORWARD record vs the parent (no backtest — this signal can't be replayed). Bot's 21% hit rate on underdog YES (0.15-0.35) shows fighting calibrated crowd. resolution_anchor gates to buckets with >=0.6 historical win rate over 30 samples for real ed

The entry rule, as configured (sizing: flat, $5.0 a fill):

closes within (h): 24
resolution_anchor: {'min_samples': 30, 'min_win_rate': 0.6}
24h volume at least: 5000
YES ask at most: 0.35
YES ask at least: 0.15

Every version — Grok Lab: Sports Underdog Bias +resolution

Version	Status	Snapshot	Change
v1	active	2026-06-11	Forward-test fork (added resolution_anchor) of losing bot sports-underdog-bias

Paper trades only — simulated fills at quoted prices, never money. The formula is archived, not deleted. Back to the Graveyard · What each signal means.