Grok Lab: Weather Deep-Discount NO-Tail +resolution

weather by grok-lab archived · born 2026-06-11 · kalshi · bought YES

Never fired. It was a forward test that produced no paper trade before it was archived.

0paper trades closed

—net, paper

—trades that won

What it tried — Grok Lab: Weather Deep-Discount NO-Tail +resolution

Forward test — Grok tried to fix the losing bot "Weather Deep-Discount NO-Tail" by adding the resolution_anchor smart signal. Trading live paper, judged on its FORWARD record vs the parent (no backtest — this signal can't be replayed). Bot has 10% hit rate buying 12-30% YES weather; resolution_anchor gates entry to only price buckets with >=0.6 historical YES resolution over 30 samples, avoiding m

The entry rule, as configured (sizing: flat, $5.0 a fill, at most 12 fills a day):

closes within (h): 24
resolution_anchor: {'min_samples': 30, 'min_win_rate': 0.6}
YES ask at most: 0.3
YES ask at least: 0.12

Every version — Grok Lab: Weather Deep-Discount NO-Tail +resolution

Version	Status	Snapshot	Change
v1	active	2026-06-11	Forward-test fork (added resolution_anchor) of losing bot weather-deep-discount

Paper trades only — simulated fills at quoted prices, never money. The formula is archived, not deleted. Back to the Graveyard · What each signal means.