Macro & rates signals — what they're saying right now
These are the live macro signals you can gate a paper-trading bot on — the same feeds our eco_anchor and finance_anchor bots use. Prediction markets reprice hard around scheduled US releases (FOMC, CPI, jobs), and the levels below — straight from FRED — are what those Fed-path and rate-level brackets settle against. Each card shows its real current reading plus a one-click way to build a bot. New to the category? Start with the macro primer.
Next macro release eco_anchor
Only trade in the window around a major scheduled release — that's when the data drops and the market reprices fastest. The countdown is the gate: eco_anchor fires once you're inside N minutes of it.
Rates & macro levels finance_anchor
The live FRED series a rate-level bot gates on — Treasury yields, the Fed Funds rate, inflation, the labor market and the yield curve. These are the numbers Fed-path and rate brackets resolve on.
GDPNow nowcast finance_anchor
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow is a running, model-based estimate of GDP growth for the quarter still in progress — refreshed as the data lands, weeks before the BEA's official advance print. It's the leading growth number the Fed and bond market watch; the gap between this nowcast and the last official actual is the macro surprise rate-path brackets reprice on. We just show the Atlanta Fed's number — no forecast of our own.
Cross-platform edge arb_anchor
The same FOMC meeting & outcome trades on both Kalshi and Polymarket — and the two books don't always agree. When one is cheaper for the identical YES, that price gap is a real edge: buy the cheaper side. These are today's live Fed-decision pairs our matcher confirmed, biggest gap first. Links open the real market.
| Fed outcome | Fair | Kalshi | Polymarket | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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Upcoming release calendar eco_anchor
Every scheduled US macro release ahead, with what each one moves and the live countdown to it. These are the dated windows an eco_anchor bot waits for — sorted soonest-first.
| Release | Date (UTC) | Moves | Countdown |
|---|---|---|---|
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Every reading here is real — release dates from the published US economic calendar, levels straight from FRED; no forecasts of our own, no fabricated numbers; a value shows — when there's no live reading. The universal Proven settle-rate signal (our own resolved-market history) also works on macro bots. Everything on the site is simulated paper trading — a sandbox to test ideas, not financial advice.