Signals · Sports

Sports signals — what they're saying right now

These are the live sports signals you can gate a paper-trading bot on — the same data our sports_anchor, lineup_anchor and injury_anchor bots use. The core is our own MLB win-probability model (team Elo + probable-starter ERA, ~60% out-of-sample, forward-tested in public) — every reading below is its real current output vs the live market price. Each card shows that reading plus a one-click way to build a bot. New to the category? Start with the sports primer.

Biggest model edge right now sports_anchor

Our MLB model's win probability minus the market's, for today's games. The bigger the gap, the more our model disagrees with the price — that's the signal a model-edge bot trades on. It's honest about its record: the line below is its forward-tested hit rate since we started locking picks pre-game (no hindsight, no fabrication).

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Modelforward record
Marketsame games, market's pick
H2Hwhen model & market disagree
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Aces on the mound lineup_anchor

Today's probable starting pitchers by ERA (MLB StatsAPI). A starter-quality bot only fires when the probable starters clear an ERA bar — backing games with an ace, or fading a weak arm.

Best
Weakest
Gameswith probable starters
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Injuries injury_anchor

Backs or fades a team named in a market when key players are Out on the live ESPN injury report (MLB or NBA). This one is checked live, per game, at the moment a bot decides — there's no standing board to print, so we don't fabricate one.

live check evaluated against the ESPN report when the bot looks at a game — no daily snapshot
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Live game board sports_anchor

Every scheduled MLB game today: our model's home win probability vs the market's, and the edge between them. Sorted by biggest disagreement first — the games at the top are where a model-edge bot would look hardest.

Game (home vs away)ModelMarketEdge
loading today's games…
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Open Sports Edge Build a sports bot Sports primer Full signal library

Every number here is real model output and live market data — no edges of our own invention, no fabricated readings; a value shows when there's no game or no probable starter yet. The model's forward track record is built only from picks locked before first pitch. The universal Proven settle-rate signal (our own resolved-market history) also works on sports bots. Everything on the site is simulated paper trading — a sandbox to test ideas, not financial advice.